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In Summary:
Examination of the annual area burned data in Alaska from 1950-present shows highly variable fire activity. Wildland fire activity within a given year can have significant ecology and economic impacts. We have developed an experimental forecast product for annual area burned that uses measurements of early season atmospheric circulation patterns to generate an estimate of area burned for the upcoming summer. The forecast product is being iteratively developed with feedback from fire managers so that limited management resources can be used most efficiently.
