2011 update

Divorce rates data, 1858 to now: why are divorces going up?

Divorce rate statistics are going up after years of decreases. Is it the effect of recession? See how it has changed since the 1800s.
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Divorced couple on wedding cake
Divorce statistics show less married couples are splitting up. Photograph: Mike Kemp/Getty Images

Divorce rates are up - as shown by new statistics from the Office for National Statistics out today show that the number of couples who get divorced is increasing.

The report, shows the number of divorces in England and Wales in 2010 - the latest year published - was 119,589, an increase of 4.9% since 2009, when there were 113,949 divorces. This follows aseveral years of decreases - last year's figure was the lowest since 1974.

Roll over chart for numbers

Other key findings are:

• The number of divorces in England and Wales in 2010 was 119,589, an increase of 4.9% since 2009, when there were 113,949 divorces
• The divorce rate rose in 2010 to 11.1 divorcing people per thousand married population from 10.5 in 2009
• 22% of marriages in 1970 had ended in divorce by the 15th wedding anniversary, whereas 33% of marriages in 1995 had ended after the same period of time
• The number of divorces in 2010 was highest among men and women aged 40 to 44

The first chart above is where people get the idea of half of all marriages ending in divorce. But what it really shows is that for each year, an equivalent of half the number of people getting married get divorced - rather than half of all the married people in the country.

Divorce rates are better to look at - this is a rate of divorces per 1,000 married people in the country. That shows an increase too:

Roll over chart for numbers

If you look at where the line goes up there's an interesting - if small - trend: there are peaks in the early 1980s, 1990s, 2000s and now an increase. The common factor of those dates? Recession.

Interesting to compare these to the marriage statistics too - but we won't get the full stats from the ONS until March or April next year.

The data is below - check out the attached spreadsheet for loads more, including details about children and causes. Can you visualise it for us?

Data summary

Causes of divorce

Grounds cited by... Click heading to sort table. Download this data

Cause
Wife, 1990
Husband, 1990
Wife, 2000
Husband, 2000
Wife, 2010
Husband, 2010
Total 109,565 42,958 98,227 42,311 79,124 40,301
Adultery 25,893 18,143 21,083 12,227 12,150 6,595
Behaviour 60,010 9,370 51,494 11,688 43,186 14,516
Desertion 694 330 411 269 276 214
Separation (2 years and consent) 17,955 10,754 19,559 13,261 16,966 12,897
Separation (5 years) 4,702 4,261 5,647 4,851 6,430 6,016
Others 311 100 33 15 116 63

All divorces

Click heading to sort table. Download this data

Year
Total
Median age at divorce, husband
Median age at divorce, wife
Median duration of marriage, wife
Divorces per thousand married population
1950 30,870 36.6 33.8    
1951 28,767 37.2 34.4    
1952 33,922 37.7 34.7    
1953 30,326 37.6 34.6    
1954 28,027 37.7 34.6    
1955 26,816 37.7 34.5    
1956 26,265 38.0 34.7    
1957 23,785 38.5 35.4    
1958 22,654 38.5 35.6    
1959 24,286 38.4 35.5    
1960 23,868 38.2 35.3    
1961 25,394 38.0 35.0    
1962 28,935 38.0 35.0    
1963 32,052 37.6 34.6 11.5  
1964 34,868 37.1 34.2 11.3  
1965 37,785 36.9 34.0 11.2  
1966 39,067 36.5 33.7 11.1  
1967 43,093 36.3 33.4 11  
1968 45,794 36.1 33.2 11  
1969 51,310 35.6 32.6 10.7  
1970 58,239 35.3 32.4 10.5  
1971 74,437 36.6 33.6 11.5 5.9
1972 119,025 37.4 34.4 12.2 9.5
1973 106,003 36.2 33.4 11.3 8.4
1974 113,500 35.9 33.5 10.9 9.0
1975 120,522 35.6 33.2 10.6 9.6
1976 126,694 35.4 33.1 10.5 10.1
1977 129,053 35.4 33.0 10.4 10.3
1978 143,667 35.5 33.0 10.4 11.6
1979 138,706 35.3 32.8 10.2 11.2
1980 148,301 35.2 32.9 10.1 12.0
1981 145,713 35.4 33.2 10.1 11.9
1982 146,698 35.6 33.4 10.1 12.1
1983 147,479 36.0 33.7 10.1 12.2
1984 144,501 36.4 34.0 10.1 12.0
1985 160,300 35.7 33.1 8.9 13.4
1986 153,903 36.2 33.6 9.4 12.9
1987 151,007 36.4 33.7 9.5 12.7
1988 152,633 36.7 34.0 9.7 12.8
1989 150,872 36.7 34.0 9.7 12.7
1990 153,386 36.8 34.1 9.8 13.0
1991 158,745 37.0 34.3 9.8 13.5
1992 160,385 37.2 34.5 9.9 13.9
1993 165,018 37.3 34.7 9.8 13.8
1994 158,175 37.6 34.9 9.8 14.2
1995 155,499 37.9 35.3 9.6 13.7
1996 157,107 38.1 35.6 9.9 13.6
1997 146,689 38.4 36.0 10 13.0
1998 145,214 38.7 36.3 10.2 12.9
1999 144,556 39.2 36.9 10.5 12.9
2000 141,135 39.7 37.3 10.7 12.7
2001 143,818 40.0 37.7 10.9 12.9
2002 147,735 40.4 38.2 11.1 13.3
2003 153,065 40.9 38.7 11.3 13.9
2004 152,923 41.4 39.2 11.5 14.0
2005 141,322 42.0 39.8 11.6 12.9
2006 132,140 42.4 40.1 11.6 12.1
2007 128,131 42.7 40.5 11.7 11.8
2008 121,708 43.0 40.8 11.5 11.2
2009 113,949 43.2 40.9 11.4 10.5
2010 119,589 43.4 41.1 11.4 11.1

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Comments

41 comments, displaying oldest first

  • This symbol indicates that that person is The Guardian's staffStaff
  • This symbol indicates that that person is a contributorContributor
  • mikedow

    28 January 2010 2:48PM

    Marriage isn't just about love, there is a strong domestic convenience element to it. In times of economic turmoil, people will think twice about a breakup. Any number of people have remained in poor relationships for decades because of there desire for home comfort, even when the economy is thriving.

  • BorisGoodenough

    28 January 2010 6:00PM

    Is it surprising that couples separate at a later age when the age at marriage goes up? Similarly you will end up having fewer divorces over time when the inclination to marry drops all the time. Nothing new, is it?
    Where are the data about alternative solutions to marriage: LAT or cohabitation?

  • oommph

    28 January 2010 7:47PM

    @mikedow - agree on the point of economic recession.

    Aside from making one think twice, the number of apppealing alternatives (solvent, monied, well-employed, no stresss) drops off too presumably.

    We have the adulterers but no information on how many others had another partner lined up, be it visibly or not.

  • Imhotepa

    29 January 2010 2:47AM

    What would happen if the graph would have been going upwards without a break?

    Rain is followed by sunshine.

  • leadballoon

    29 January 2010 11:42AM

    Interesting to compare these to the marriage statistics too.

    Indeed it is. Notice that the Median duration of marriage at divorce is pretty constant over the past 5 years. A quick check of the marriage statistics show that marriage rates were dropping around 11 years ago and marriages in these years (assuming some variation of normal distribution) will be contributing most to the divorce rate now.

    The divorce rate per thousand fell from 13 to 11.5 from 1998 to 2008 (a fall of 11.5%) yet the marriage data records 272,536 marriages in 1997 compared with 351,761 in 1987 (a fall of 22.5%). There could be something in the idea that the most stable relationships are the ones which have continued to be marked by marriage. In other words, those marriages which still take place when the numbers are lower have a lower divorce rate.

    Of course that proves nothing in the marriage tax break debate. If tax incentives for marriage are increased it may encourage some co-habitees to wed even if the chances of being together in ten years time for those couples are much the same whether they marry or not.

    Oh, and photo caption

    Divorce statistics show less married couples are splitting up

    . No, fewer married couples are splitting up.

  • SueBrayne

    18 February 2011 11:56AM

    This comment was removed by a moderator because it didn't abide by our community standards. Replies may also be deleted. For more detail see our FAQs.

  • woogiehed

    8 December 2011 11:46AM

    I think statements like this don't really mean much:

    • The number of divorces in England and Wales in 2010 was 119,589, an increase of 4.9% since 2009, when there were 113,949 divorces

    Unless there is a specific cause for a yearly shift in rates e,g, change in legislation, this could just be noise. It is the long term trend that you are after.

  • rmmy

    8 December 2011 11:55AM

    Can you explain your 'Cause' chart better. For the wife column/adultery row does this mean 'where the wife committed adultery' or 'where the wife sought divorce because the husband committed adultery'?

  • woogiehed

    8 December 2011 12:00PM

    I guess what I'm saying is that if you check both charts (rate and total number) there are similar annual spikes followed by dips, 2009 -> 2010 could easily be one of those. I think it's difficult to draw any conclusions from a change between two years. (Disclaimer: I haven't the foggiest idea on analysing this sort of stuff so I could be completely wrong).

  • floundering

    8 December 2011 12:05PM

    Taking the long view 2009 looks like a blip - i.e an eccentric figure within the range of statistical variability. 2010 looks pretty much on a long-term trend line.

  • woogiehed

    8 December 2011 12:11PM

    p.s. I don't want to sound like an embittered critic, I appreciate the data!

    I think divorce rates are a fascinating measure, unless of course you are currently going through one.

  • wowinterweb

    8 December 2011 12:25PM

    Get rid of the marriage tax credits - discrimination against a big proportion of the population

  • rizabadie

    8 December 2011 12:43PM

    A divorce can, and usually does take years. Are these dates of commencement of proceedings or decree nisi or decree absolute? If you're linking it to the economy it could make a big difference.

  • Muniquoise

    8 December 2011 12:47PM

    "Divorce statistics show less married couples are splitting up. Photograph: Mike Kemp/Getty Images"

    Divorce statistics show FEWER married couples are splitting up.

    Why is everyone making this mistake these days??!!

  • TrollingStone

    8 December 2011 1:31PM

    Study after study shows the #1 thing couples argue about is money. Do recessions up divorce rates - clearly, yes. The recession is bound up the ante a bit.

    It'd be nice to see an examination of who initiates divorce - as I understand it, in modern Britain the majority of divorces are initiated by women. Now, question is, is this a product of liberation, or a divorce and family law environment that overly favours women?

  • Marangaranga

    8 December 2011 2:00PM

    It'd be nice to see an examination of who initiates divorce - as I understand it, in modern Britain the majority of divorces are initiated by women. Now, question is, is this a product of liberation, or a divorce and family law environment that overly favours women?

    Back in the day it used to be considered good form for a husband to allow his wife to divorce him rather than petitioning her for a divorce. Doubt that is much of a factor these days though.

    It is often said that family law here favours women but if that criticism is valid at all it is only in the "big money" cases which are a tiny fraction of divorces.

    Most likely it is practicality. It is likely that in the average divorcing couple the husband will be earning more than the wife and most of the couples assets will be in his name. The wife will therefore have less say in the couples finances and will have limited protection against the husband spending assets (except the matrimonial home where there is specific protection). It is far more in her interests than his to regularise the position (especially if she is looking after the children and is seeking maintenance).

    I would think that as time goes on the stats will even out.

  • gpjcyprus

    8 December 2011 2:06PM

    Divorce rates are up dramatically since 1858? I'm shocked.

  • gpjcyprus

    8 December 2011 2:08PM

    I knew this new-fangled "women's emancipation" thing would end in tears.

  • cannylassy

    8 December 2011 2:45PM

    Actually, it looks like the opposite is true. If you look at the data set, more than 2000 more women filed for divorce on the grounds of unreasonable behaviour in 2010 than 2009. That does include physical and emotional abuse, both of which seem likely to be worse when the abuser is stressed about money or unemployment, but also financial irresponsibility. I can see situations where someone can't actually afford to remain married to a spouse who is accruing debt.

    Marangaranga, maintenance only applies in exceptional cases. Child support is, for the most part, arranged by the child support agency. Also, I suspect more women than men will qualify for legal aid to help with the costs of legal advice.

  • cannylassy

    8 December 2011 2:47PM

    Sorry, the above was in response to mikedow.

  • OrigamiPenguin

    8 December 2011 2:54PM

    "Divorce statistics show fewer married couples are splitting up."

    Except the article then goes on to try and demonstrate why this is not the case.

  • 01010010

    8 December 2011 3:05PM

    It ain't such a bad thing. Divorce isn't hugely stigmatised anymore. And nor should it be. Sometimes people just grow apart and relationships break down.

    People who stay together forever are greatly admired, and I think that's right; when they are still as devoted to one another as they always were. And of course a lot of people should put a hell of a lot of thought into what they're getting into, but it shouldn't be seen as a massive disaster when things fall apart and people part ways. Of course when it comes to children that's when things get really tough.

    But as a statistic rising divorce shouldn't be regarded as an awful thing that older generations tut about and say "it weren't like that in my day".

  • Meitnerium278

    8 December 2011 3:31PM

    The first chart above is where people get the idea of half of all marriages ending in divorce. But what it really shows is that for each year, an equivalent of half the number of people getting married get divorced - rather than half of all the married people in the country.

    No, the assumption is correct - rates can be compared to rates, totals to totals, but comparing rates to totals is invalid unless you know the total duration. If the marriage rate is roughly constant and the divorce rate is roughly half the marriage rate, half of all marriages end in divorce.

    In fact, however, the divorce rate is roughly constant since the 1970s and the marriage rate is dropping, which suggests that, allowing for a lag, the divorce rate may be a little more than 50% currently.

  • gorillainexile

    8 December 2011 3:37PM

    it is like Religion, if you quit from one day to the other.There has not been Such.

  • Porthos

    8 December 2011 3:42PM

    I suspect the latter, but yes, please clarify Guardian!

    Either way, adultery seems to have consistently fallen over the decades. I wonder if it's because we cheat less or if we're just not as bothered about it as we used to be?

  • farfrom

    8 December 2011 4:59PM

    There is an old saying

    "When poverty comes in the door, love goes out of the window"

  • judeanpopularfront

    8 December 2011 5:33PM

    Surely marriage is, and always will be, the biggest cause of divorce?

    Don't get married is the answer.....all the clues are there.

  • TrueBrit1066

    8 December 2011 5:33PM

    I think that divorce should be made easier for couples without children, and harder for couples with children, as children are the innocent victims of divorce....

  • kenwyn

    8 December 2011 5:34PM

    Thanks for pointing it out. It makes me wince every time I see/hear that mistake. As for why, it's because they did away with teaching English grammar several decades ago. My friends from abroad can't believe it when I tell them.

  • blundermouth

    8 December 2011 6:28PM

    It's all about money. It always is. Marriage is a bad idea.

  • SpangleJ

    8 December 2011 7:10PM

    I would agree with many commenters that the data seems to suggest that divorce rates are falling, not rising. Just another attention grabbing headline.

  • ennovyhh

    8 December 2011 7:17PM

    Strangely never mentioned in cause of divorce - the "wedding show", the wedding itself used as something like a rite of passage for the bride. Too many weddings are treated more like a "prom date", a "quincinera", or a "rite of passage" by the brides. The wedding industry is a billion dollar industry because of precisely this attitude. Many young women see the wedding day as some sort of "fairy-princess" day, where "all their dreams come true". Parents spend thousands of dollars to make the wedding "picture-perfect" like something out of a fairy tale, and the trouble is the groom is the last person considered. It doesn't matter who the groom is so long as the princess "bridezilla" has HER day in the spotlight. Too many "wedding shows" are performed, and there are too few actual real marriages where love and honor and respect and loyalty are more important than what shoes the bride wears. Too many brides treat the wedding like the big dance, the prom, a coming-out party, with all the costly trimmings and a week's paid vacation in the Bahamas or some sort of "Fantasy Island" to boot. When they come back from the high of their social heights and the results of their time in the sun, real life of living with the other person hits them square and they last two months in the real world of life that didn't work out as the fantasy promised. So long as young girls believe in the trappings of the fantasy, there will always be so many divorces as a result. Parents - perhaps you should teach your daughters about real life and real love and real marriage and just say "no" to footing the bill towards their failed fantasy.

  • Guero

    8 December 2011 10:23PM

    Sorry to be pedantic to the pedants but the whole less/fewer was set out as prescriptive rule by the grammarians of the late 18th and early 19th century who frequently ignored usage and sometimes even favoured rarified or less usual grammatical forms.

    The Cambridge Distionary of Usage now describes the choice as one of style.

    Much like the whole unnecessary debate of split infinitives and the final "good enough for Shakespeare" final retort.

  • rationalistx

    9 December 2011 12:11PM

    These figures are slightly misleading, as many couples choose to live together rather than get married and there are no figures for those splitting up in these circumstances and indeed, causes for breaking up such as adultery, desertion ,separation and behaviour have no meaning outside of marriage,since no vow has been made.

    The table tells us that in 1990, 109,565 women sued for divorce and in 2010 79,124.

    This merely tells us that in the twenty year period more women chose to live with someone rather than get married.

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