Risk Assessments

Avian Influenza
BSE
Catfish
E. coli O157:H7 | Non-O157 STEC
Microbial Risk Assessment Guideline
Poultry Slaughter
Ready-to-Eat Meat & Poultry Products
Risk-Based Sampling Algorithms
Shell Eggs & Egg Products
Journal Publications
Additional Risk Assessment Links

AVIAN INFLUENZA

Interagency Risk Assessment for the Public Health Impact of Highly Pathogenic Avian Influenza Virus in Poultry, Shell Eggs, and Egg Products (May 2010)

Executive Summary (PDF)
Report (PDF; 2.0mb, 164pp)
Peer Review Comments and Responses (PDF Only; 566k, 121pp)
Responses to Public Comments (PDF Only)
Models
- Shell Eggs Model (XLS; 2.0mb)
- Poultry Model (XLS; 2.7mb)

BOVINE SPONGIFORM ENCEPHALOPATHY (BSE)

2005 Harvard Risk Assessment of Bovine Spongiform Encephalopathy Update (Oct 2005)

Executive Summary (PDF)
Report (PDF)
- Appendix 1, Base Case Parameter File Changes From Earlier Analysis (PDF)
- Appendix 2, Detailed Simulation Output (PDF)
  - Appendix 2A (PDF; 1.8mb)
  - Appendix 2B (PDF; 935kb)
  - Appendix 2C (PDF; 32mb)
- Appendix 3, Numerical Stability of Simulation Output (PDF)
- Appendix 4, Response to Peer Review Comments (PDF; 849kb)
Peer Reviewers (PDF)
Pre-Public Comment Model (ZIP compressed file containing multiple files and instructions; 1mb)

Post-public Comment Model and Supplemental Simulation Results (Dec 2006)

Report (PDF)
- Appendix 2A (PDF; 1.23mb)
- Appendix 2C (PDF; 9.81mb)
- Appendix 3 (PDF)
Post-Public Comment Model (ZIP compressed file containing multiple files and instructions; 241kb)
Data File Documentation (PDF)
Response to Public Comments (PDF)

CATFISH

Risk Assessment of the Potential Human Health Effect of Applying Continuous Inspection to Catfish

Report (Jul 2012; PDF Only)
Peer Review Comments and Responses (PDF Only)
Model (R Software)

E. COLI O157:H7

Comparative Risk Assessment for Intact (Non-Tenderized) and Non-Intact (Tenderized) Beef (Mar 2002)

Executive Summary (PDF)
Report (PDF)
Errata (PDF)
Model (XLS)
Model, Addendum 1: Risk Estimates (XLS)
Interpretation of the Risk Estimates for Intact and Non-Intact Beef Cooked to Temperatures 140 °F (PDF)

Risk Assessment of E. coli O157:H7 in Ground Beef (Sep 2001)

Executive Summary (PDF)
Report (PDF; 1.2mb)

E. COLI NON-O157:H7 STEC

Risk Profile for Pathogenic Non-O157 Shiga Toxin-Producing Escherichia coli (non-O157 STEC)

Report (May 2012; PDF Only)

POULTRY SLAUGHTER

Potential Public Health Impact of Salmonella and Campylobacter Performance Guidance for Young Chickens and Turkeys (Jan 2011; PDF Only)

Supporting Document for Docket No. FSIS-2010-0029 (PDF Only)

FSIS Risk Assessment for Guiding Public Health-Based Poultry Slaughter Inspection

Executive Summary (Updated Aug 2012; PDF)
2012 Report (PDF)
2008 Report (PDF)
- The 2008 report is also an Appendix to the Poultry Slaughter Technical Report issued prior to the meeting of the National Advisory Committee on Meat and Poultry Inspection (Feb 5-6, 2008).
Response to Peer Review Comments (Jun 2008; PDF)

READY-TO-EAT MEAT & POULTRY PRODUCTS

Comparative Risk Assessment for Listeria monocytogenes in Ready-to-eat Meat and Poultry Deli Meats (May 2010)

Executive Summary (PDF)
Report (PDF; 816kb)
Model (XLS files in ZIP archive)
- Instructions for Use of the Model (PDF)
Response to Peer Review Comments (PDF)
Response to Public Comments (PDF)
Federal Register Notice
- Docket No. 2009-0003 | PDF

Risk Assessment for Clostridium perfringens in Ready-to-Eat and Partially Cooked Meat and Poultry Products (Sep 2005)

Executive Summary (PDF)
Report (PDF; 3mb)
Model
Response to Peer Review Comments (PDF)
Response to Public Comments (PDF)
Risk Management Metrics Using the C. perfringens Risk Assessment (PDF; 742kb) | Executive Summary (PDF)
- Model

Risk Assessment for the Impact of Lethality Standards on Salmonellosis from Ready-to-Eat Meat and Poultry Products (Sep 2005)

Quantitative Assessment of the Relative Risk to Public Health from Foodborne Listeria monocytogenes Among Selected Categories of Ready-to-Eat Foods (Sep 2003)

Risk Assessment for Listeria monocytogenes in Deli Meat (May 2003)

Executive Summary (PDF)
Report (PDF; 1.5mb)
Model (ZIP compressed file containing multiple files and instructions; 3.4mb)
Response to Peer Review Comments (PDF)
Response to Public Comments (PDF)
FSIS Response to Supplemental Public Comments (PDF)

RISK-BASED SAMPLING ALGORITHMS

Risk-based Sampling for Escherichia coli O157:H7 in Ground Beef and Beef Trim (Feb 2008)

FSIS Risk Assessment for Risk-Based Verification Sampling of Listeria monocytogenes (Jun 2007)

Report (PDF; 1.2mb)
Response to Peer Review Comments (PDF)
Appendices (PDF Only; 3.9mb)
Example Models (ZIP)

SHELL EGGS & EGG PRODUCTS

Risk Assessment for Salmonella Enteritidis in Shell Eggs and Salmonella spp. in Egg Products (Oct 2005)

Executive Summary (PDF)
Report (PDF; 1.6mb)
- Report Errata (PDF)
- Report Annex A (PDF)
- Report Annex B (PDF)
- Report Annex C (PDF)
- Report Annex D (PDF)
- Report Annex E (PDF; 576kb)
- Report Annex F (PDF; 667kb)
- Report Annex G (PDF; 747kb)
- Report Annex H (PDF; 926kb)
Model
Response to Peer Review and Public Comments (PDF)

Risk Assessment for Salmonella Enteritidis in Eggs and Egg Products (Jun 1998)

Additional Risk Assessment Links

FoodRisk.ORG
This clearinghouse offers risk analysis professionals data, tutorials, tools and links to numerous resources, including a list of future research needs identified by FSIS and FDA food safety risk assessments.

Last Modified: September 28, 2012


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