Cancer Prevalence
U.S. cancer prevalence estimates for 2010 and projections for 2020 under different assumptions of cancer incidence and survival trends: Base case assumes constant incidence and survival as estimated in 2002-2005, Trend incidence assumes projected incidence trend and constant survival, Trend survival assumes constant incidence and projected survival trend, Trend incidence & survival assumes projected incidence and survival trends. Percent change from 2010 base estimate.
2010 | 2020 | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Base | Trend incidence | Trend survival | Trend incidence & survival | ||||||
Site | Base | No. | % change | No. | % change | No. | % change | No. | % change |
Bladder | 514,000 | 629,000 | 22% | 576,000 | 12% | 640,000 | 25% | 587,000 | 14% |
Brain | 139,000 | 176,000 | 27% | 174,000 | 25% | 185,000 | 33% | 182,000 | 31% |
Female breast | 3,461,000 | 4,538,000 | 31% | 4,275,000 | 24% | 4,597,000 | 33% | 4,329,000 | 25% |
Cervix | 281,000 | 276,000 | -2% | 245,000 | -13% | 277,000 | -1% | 245,000 | -13% |
Colorectal | 1,216,000 | 1,517,000 | 25% | 1,327,000 | 9% | 1,575,000 | 30% | 1,376,000 | 13% |
Esophagus | 35,000 | 50,000 | 43% | 48,000 | 37% | 62,000 | 77% | 60,000 | 71% |
Head/Neck | 283,000 | 340,000 | 20% | 308,000 | 9% | 346,000 | 22% | 313,000 | 11% |
Kidney | 308,000 | 426,000 | 38% | 487,000 | 58% | 446,000 | 45% | 511,000 | 66% |
Leukemia | 263,000 | 340,000 | 29% | 328,000 | 25% | 356,000 | 35% | 342,000 | 30% |
Lung | 374,000 | 457,000 | 22% | 392,000 | 5% | 481,000 | 29% | 412,000 | 10% |
Lymphoma | 639,000 | 812,000 | 27% | 803,000 | 26% | 841,000 | 32% | 831,000 | 30% |
Melanoma | 1,225,000 | 1,714,000 | 40% | 1,971,000 | 61% | 1,724,000 | 41% | 1,983,000 | 62% |
Ovary | 238,000 | 282,000 | 18% | 232,000 | -3% | 296,000 | 24% | 241,000 | 1% |
Pancreas | 30,000 | 40,000 | 33% | 40,000 | 33% | 50,000 | 67% | 50,000 | 67% |
Prostate | 2,311,000 | 3,265,000 | 41% | 3,108,000 | 34% | 3,291,000 | 42% | 3,132,000 | 36% |
Stomach | 74,000 | 93,000 | 26% | 80,000 | 8% | 103,000 | 39% | 88,000 | 19% |
Uterus | 586,000 | 672,000 | 15% | 638,000 | 9% | 667,000 | 14% | 634,000 | 8% |
All Sites | 13,772,000 | 18,071,000 | 31% | 17,465,000 | 27% | 18,878,000 | 37% | 18,229,000 | 32% |