Risk Factor Model Inputs through 2020

Percent at Healthy Weight⁽¹⁾

Projected healthy weight trend (2005-2020) (Line)
X	Y
2004	31.1
2005	30.3
2006	29.29
2007	28.6
2008	27.9
2009	27.2
2010	26.6
2011	26
2012	25.5
2013	24.9
2014	24.4
2015	24
2016	23.5
2017	23.1
2018	22.8
2019	22.5
2020	22.1
Healthy People 2010 goal met ⁽³⁾ (Line)
X	Y
2004	31.1
2005	36
2006	40.69
2007	45.5
2008	50.1
2009	54.7
2010	59.5
2011	59.3
2012	59.3
2013	59.09
2014	58.8
2015	58.59
2016	58.3
2017	58.09
2018	57.59
2019	57.2
2020	56.59
Optimistic but realistic goal ⁽³⁾ (Line)
X	Y
2004	31.1
2005	30.9
2006	30.9
2007	30.7
2008	30.6
2009	30.5
2010	30.5
2011	30.4
2012	30.3
2013	30.1
2014	29.9
2015	29.9
2016	29.5
2017	29.29
2018	28.99
2019	28.79
2020	28.6
Healthy weight trend (1970-2004) (Line)
X	Y
1970	56.1
1971	55.9
1972	56
1973	55.9
1974	55.8
1975	55.7
1976	55.5
1977	55.1
1978	54.7
1979	54.2
1980	53.7
1981	53.1
1982	52.5
1983	51.7
1984	51
1985	50
1986	48.9
1987	48.2
1988	47.2
1989	46.3
1990	45.3
1991	44.2
1992	43.1
1993	42
1994	41
1995	39.9
1996	38.9
1997	37.9
1998	36.9
1999	35.9
2000	35
2001	34
2002	33
2003	32
2004	31.1
NHANES data (Scatter)
X	Scale label
1973	55%
1978	54.6%
1989	46.8%
1993	42.4%
1999	35.69%
2001	36.6%
Healthy People 2010 U.S. Target (Scatter)
X	Scale label
2010	60%

Footnotes:

(1) Healthy weight defined as body mass index 18.5-24.9 kg/m%u00B2;.

(2) Age adjusted to the 2000 standard population using age groups 25-39y, 40-59y, 60-74y.

(3) Age-specific trends applied after the year 2010 (no period trends).