Cancer Prevalence and Cost of Care Projections

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Graph by Cancer Site and Phase of Cancer
(See cost of care or prevalence for cancer site, sex, age and year under various assumptions)

Projection Tables for 2020

National Expenditures for Cancer Care
Cancer Prevalence

Base Data

Average Annual Costs of Care

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Cancer prevalence was estimated and projected by tumor site through 2020 using incidence and survival data from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) Program and population projections from the U.S. Census Bureau. Annualized net costs of care were estimated using Medicare claims linked to SEER data and adjusted to represent costs in 2010 US dollars.

Different scenarios for assumptions about trends in incidence, survival, and cost were assessed with sensitivity analysis. Projections of current trends in incidence (declining) and survival (increasing) have almost no effect on these estimates. However, if costs of care increase annually by 2% in the initial and last year of life phases of care, the total cost in 2020 is projected to be $174 billion.

This site is based on a study that estimates and projects the national cost of cancer care through the year 2020 separately for multiple cancer sites using the most recent available U.S. population projections, cancer incidence, survival, and cost of care data. More information about the methods, data sources and assumptions in: Mariotto AB, Yabroff KR, Shao Y, Feuer EJ, Brown ML. Projections of the Cost of Cancer Care in the U.S.: 2010-2020. J Natl Cancer Inst. 2011 Jan.