Projected Colorectal Cancer Mortality Rates

Age-adjusted death rates per 100,000 by Scenario

Healthy People 2010 U.S. Target (Line)
XY
Year of DeathRate per 100,000
201013.7
US Vital Statistics (Scatter)
XScale label
Year of DeathRate per 100,000
200024.4
200123.7
200223.2
Projected Trends Baseline (Line)
XY
Year of DeathRate per 100,000
200223.2
200322.6
200421.9
200521.3
200620.5
200719.7
200818.8
200918.1
201017.4
201116.7
201216.1
201315.4
201415
201514.6
201614.2
201713.7
201813.5
201913.2
202013
Screening (Optimistic Goals) (Line)
XY
Year of DeathRate per 100,000
200223.2
200322.6
200421.9
200521.3
200620.6
200719.8
200819
200918.1
201017.4
201116.5
201215.8
201315
201414.5
201514
201613.5
201713.2
201812.7
201912.4
202012
Risk Factors, Screening and Chemo (Optimistic Goals) (Line)
XY
Year of DeathRate per 100,000
200223.2
200322.6
200421.9
200521
200620.2
200719.4
200818.5
200917.7
201016.9
201116.1
201215.4
201314.6
201414.1
201513.6
201613.1
201712.7
201812.2
201911.9
202011.4
Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 standard population using age groups <1 year, 1-4 years, 5-14 years, 15-24 years, 25-34 years, 35-44 years, 45-54 years, 55-64 years, 65-74 years, 75-84 years and 85+ years.
Treatment-related objectives were not included in Healthy People 2010. We included treatment goals to evaluate the potential impact on colorectal cancer mortality.

Impact of Intervention

Percent difference from baseline (A positive percentage represents a decline in mortality).
 Screening (Optimistic Goals) (Line)Risk Factors, Screening and Chemo (Optimistic Goals) (Line)
200200
200300
200400
200501.4
200601.5
200701.5
200801.6
200902.2
201002.9
20111.23.6
20121.94.3
20132.65.2
20143.36
20154.16.8
20164.97.7
20173.67.3
20185.99.6
20196.19.8
20207.712.3
The Impact of Intervention is measured as the annual percent difference between the age-adjusted rate for the scenario and the age-adjusted rate for the baseline.
Percent Difference from Baseline = ((Baseline Rate - Scenario Rate) / Baseline Rate) * 100.
Treatment-related objectives were not included in Healthy People 2010. We included treatment goals to evaluate the potential impact on colorectal cancer mortality.

 

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